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"Bookie Buster" by Frank Belanger
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MoneyFish | Date: Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:13 PM | Message # 16 |
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| System #11 This is a system that I really enjoy every month. This money management allows you to set a specific amount that you want to win. You can chose to win this amount every week, every month, 2 months, etc… You can apply this system with parlay or with straight bet. For the moment, we will use the parlay. How does it works ? Well it is very simple. Let’s say that you want to make $500 profit a month with your bets. First, all you have to do is to is to create a series of 3 numbers which will total $500. Also, the first and third number of the series must be the same and must be the double of the second number. You can use a simple formula to calculate all the number. This formula is : A = Amount you want to make / 5 Now for the first and the third number, it’s 2 X A For the second number, it’s A Example: For $500, the 3 numbers will be: A = 500 / 5 A = 100 First and third number = 2 X A = 200 Second number = A = 100 So the series will be: 200 – 100 – 200 for a total of 500 89If the amount you want to make is $100, the series will be: 40 – 20 – 40 For a total of $100 Ok, now that your series is done, write down this series. So you have: 200 – 100 – 200 The only thing that you have to do is to eliminate the entire series by betting 2 team parlay. You will always start by eliminating the first and the third number of the series. To do so, add these 2 numbers. In our case, that is 200 + 200 = 400. So, now your target is 400. You have to place a 2 team parlay in order to win 400. For the purpose of our example, let’s say that the odds are 1.93 (- 107). That means a 2 team parlay will pay 3.74 (+274 ). To calculate the amount you need to bet in order to win 400, use this simple formula: Amount to bet = Amount to win / ( odds –1 ) So in our example, it’s Amount to bet = 400 / (3.74 – 1 ) Amount to bet = 400 / 2.74 Amount to bet = 145.99 So, in order to win $400 with this 2 team parlay, you need to bet $145.99. If you win the parlay, you would have eliminated the first and the third number you have written down. If you win the parlay, cross out those two numbers. It will looks like this: 200 – 100 – 200 90 This leaves you with: 100 Now the only thing you need to do is win a parlay that would win $100. Ok, of course this is when everything go well. Now let’s say you lose your bet. When you lose your bet, you will add your loses to your target. If your series was: 200 – 100 – 200 And your bet was 145.99 in order to win 400 and you lose this bet, you add 145.99 to your 500. So, now you have a total of 645.99 After that, you breakdown this new amount into 3 numbers using the formula that I showed you. Your new series will be: 258.40 – 129.20 – 258.40 Again here, you new target will be the sum of the first and the second number. Your new target will be 516.80 So, using the formula, in order to win 516.80 with a 2 team parlay at odds 1.93, your next bet will be 188.61. If you win your bet, cross out those 2 numbers and this will leaves you with: 129.20 Now, all you have to do is win a 2 team parlay that will win 129.20. If you win this parlay, you would have made a $500 profit. 91 When you’re left with only one number, you can add your loses to this amount every time you lose and bet a 2 team parlay in order to win this amount. However, if this amount goes to high, simply split this amount into 3 numbers using the formula and start the process again. Remember: 1) Chose the amount you want to make 2) Use the formula to find create the 3 numbers series 3) Use the formula to find the amount to bet to win the total of the first and third number of the series 4) When you hit the first parlay, cross out these 2 numbers and bet the amount you need to bet in order to win the remaining number you have written down 5) When you lose a parlay, add the loses to the target and breakdown this amount into 3 part using the formula 6) When you have just one number left, add the loses the this number and bet a 2 team parlay in order to win this amount. 7) If this amount goes to high, split this amount into 3 numbers using the formula and start the process at the beginning. 8) When you hit 2 two team parlay, you will have eliminated the entire series and made the profit determined by you
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MoneyFish | Date: Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:13 PM | Message # 17 |
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| System #12 In the last system, I showed you how to set a monthly amount to win and use the system by betting a 2 team parlay every day. In system #12, I will show you how to use the same system with the straight bet. Of course, your bets will be higher but you will win more often. How does it works ? Well it is very simple. Let’s say that you want to make $500 profit a month with your bets. First, all you have to do is to is to create a series of 3 numbers which will total $500. Also, the first and third number of the series must be the same and must be the double of the second number. You can use a simple formula to calculate all the numbers. This formula is : A = Amount you want to make / 5 Now for the first and the third number, it’s 2 X A For the second number, it’s A Example: For $500, the 3 numbers will be: A = 500 / 5 A = 100 First and third number = 2 X A = 200 Second number = A = 100 So the series will be: 200 – 100 – 200 for a total of 500 If the amount you want to make is $100, the series will be: 93 40 – 20 – 40 For a total of $100 Ok, now that your series is done, write down this series. So you have: 200 – 100 – 200 The only thing that you have to do is to eliminate the entire series by making straight bets. You will always start by eliminating the first and the third number of the series. To do so, add these 2 numbers. In our case, that is 200 + 200 = 400. So, now your target is 400. You have to place a straight bet in order to win 400. For the purpose of our example, let’s say that the odds are 1.93 (- 107). To calculate the amount you need to bet in order to win 400, use this simple formula: Amount to bet = Amount to win / ( odds –1 ) So in our example, it’s… Amount to bet = 400 / (1.93 – 1 ) Amount to bet = 400 / 0.93 Amount to bet = 430.10 So, in order to win $400 with this straight bet, you need to bet $430.10. If you win your bet, you would have eliminated the first and the third number you have written down. If you win you bet, cross out those two numbers. It will looks like this: 200 – 100 – 200 94This leave you with: 100 Now the only thing you need to do is win a straight bet that would win $100. Ok, of course this is when everything go well. Now let’s say you lose your bet. When you lose your bet, you will add your loses to your target. If your series was: 200 – 100 – 200 And you bet was 430.10 in order to win 400 and you lose this bet, you add 430.10 to your initial 500. So, now you have a total of 930.10 After that, you breakdown this new amount into 3 numbers using the formula that I showed you. Your new series will be: 372.04 – 186.02 – 372.04 Again here, your new target will be the sum of the first and the second number. Your new target will be 744.08 So, using the formula, in order to win 744.08 with a straight bet at odds 1.93, your next bet will be 800.08. If you win your bet, cross out those 2 numbers and this will leaves you with: 186.02 Now, all you have to do is win a straight bet that will win 186.02. If you win this straight bet, you would have made a $500 profit. 95When you’re left with only one number, you can add your loses to this amount every time you lose and make a straight bet in order to win this amount. However, if this amount goes to high, simply split this amount into 3 numbers using the formula and start the process again. Remember: 1) Chose the amount you want to make 2) Use the formula to find create the 3 numbers series 3) Use the formula to find the amount to bet to win the total of the first and third number of the series 4) When you hit the first straight bet, cross out these 2 numbers and bet the amount you need to bet in order to win the remaining number you have written down 5) When you lose a straight bet, add the loses to the target and breakdown this amount into 3 part using the formula 6) When you have just one number left, add the loses the this number and make a straight bet in order to win this amount. 7) If this amount goes to high, split this amount into 3 numbers using the formula and start the process at the beginning. 8) When you hit 2 straight bets, you will have eliminated the entire series and made the profit determined by you. This system works very well when you bet on a good underdog with odds over 2.00 (+100) or with the run line or the points line. It will keeps your bets low. Also, if you think that your bets goes to high, you just have to breakdown this amount into 4 or five equal numbers instead of 3. The secret is to always eliminate the first and the last number. So, in our last example, if betting $800 is to high, you take the 930.10 and split it into 4 equal part of 232.52. 232.52 – 232.52 – 232.52 – 232.52 96So, your next target becomes 232.52 + 232.52 = 465.04 Your next bet to eliminate the first and last number is 465.04 / 0.93 = 500.04 If you win this straight bet, this leaves you with: 232.52 – 232.52 – 232.52 – 232.52 Now, repeat the same process gain.
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MoneyFish | Date: Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:14 PM | Message # 18 |
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| System #13 Well, this system is a very simple, yet effective winning strategy. In fact, this system is about a very classic money management system, the Martingale double up system, that most of educated gamblers are convinced that using this method brings to disaster. Honestly, this is absolutely true. If you use Martingale, it will eventually deteriorate your bankroll, despite the fact that you have been accumulating steady 1 unit profits over some time. If you limit the martingale to 3 to 5 steps in favorable situations, you can still make profits without severely damaging your bankroll. A 3 step Martingale risks 7 units and a 5 step Martingale risks 31 units (1 + 2 + 4 + 8 + 16). However, there is a way to use the martingale at sports betting in order to perform very well. The trick is to use a pre-determined series of Win/Lose games. If you have a pre-determined Win/Lose betting sequence of 5 steps (say W, L, L, W, W) what are the chances that you will be right on all 5 bets. The answer is 50% (or 1/2) multiplied 5 times by itself, or 1 in 32. That means that if you tell yourself that for the next 5 bets you will be betting W, L, L, W, W regardless of the outcomes of the games, there is 1/32 probability that you will be hitting all your bets right. This is a very low probability. However, the opposite is also true, that the probability of hitting all your 5 bets wrong is also 1 in 32. That means, that if you use a pre- determined sequence of W, L, L, W, W, by using a 5 step Martingale betting method, you have a 31/32 or 97% chance that one of the 5 bets will hit right. Now this is a very high probability. One important thing that you should know is that it is not unlikely to get the exact opposite pattern: L, W, W, L, L even if it will happen 3% of the time. The fact is, if you bet your pattern (W, L, L, W, W) continuously, statistically you should hit the opposite pattern within the next 32 bets. The result would be the lost of all your winnings. We don’t want this to happen. So, the strategy will be to change the pattern after every winning sequence. This way you will be attacking the next 5 bets, with an equal probability of 97% winning chances from session to session. 98This system works very well for all sports. However, what I like is to use this system during the baseball season. The reasons are simple. There is a lot of winning and losing streak in the MLB and with that in mind, most of the time use the simple series of bets (W, L, W, L, W, L). So, when you select a team and apply this series to the system, chance are in your favor because this is a pattern that will not happen very often is the MLB. Also, another fact is that 44% of all games are won by the underdogs. So, if your bet must be on the underdog or if you use the run line –1.5 for the favorite, your bet will stay very low and you will be able to use a 7 – 9 step martingale very comfortably. Remember that when you use a martingale at sports betting, your next bet is always the sum of all your loses. Simply because the odds are never always the same. It is not like in a real casino. But, you can use this system with any sports. Now, let me refresh your mind about how works the martingale at sports betting. What is a martingale ? I know that you know that. A martingale is a double up system to end a losing series with 1 unit profit. But why are we doubling up our bets ? Simply because in reality, when you use a martingale, you always bet the sum of all your loses plus one unit. Remember the series 1-2-4-8-16 You bet 1 and you lose. You bet the sum of all your loses (1) plus 1. So, the next bet is 2. You bet 2 and you lose. You bet the sum of all your loses (1+2) plus 1. So, the next bet is 4. You bet 4 and you lose. You bet the sum of all your loses (1+2+4) plus 1. So, the next bet is 8. You bet 8 and you lose. You bet the sum of all your loses (1+2+4+8) plus 1. So, the next bet is 16. You bet 16 and you win. Profit 16-(1+2+4+8) = 1 unit. Do you clearly understand how works the martingale ? It is not a double up system, it is a “total lost plus 1” system! 99 If you think about it, you’ll realise that you can use a martingale with any kind of bets and odds. If you want to bet only on the Yankees at 1.50 (-200), here how it works. You want to win $10. You place a bet of $20 (10/(1.50-1). You lose. Your next bet is $20+$10 = $30 / (1.50-1) = $60. You lose. Your next bet is $20+$60+$10 = $90 / (1.50-1) = $180. Etc… Got it ? Now, let’s see an example to clearly see how it works. Let’s say we want to win $100 every session. Let’s take the Florida Marlins as example. We will use this predetermined session: W, L, W, L, W August 25, 2004 Marlins / Giants (-1.5) 2.53 / 2.22 As for our first bet, we will place a bet on the Marlins because the predetermined series tell us to do that. The bet: We want to win $100 at odds 2.53 $100 / (2.53 –1 ) = $65.36 We place a bet of $65.36 on the Marlins at (-1.5) 2.53 Result: Marlins (5) / Giants (6) We lose our bet. 100August 26, 2004 Marlins / Giants (-1.5) 2.34 / 2.46 For the second bet, we will place a bet against the Marlins, because the series tell us to do that. Remember the series is W, L ,W, L, W. So, we will place a bet on the Giants. The bet will be the sum of all our loses plus the amount we want to make ($100) / odds -1. $65.36 + $100 / 2.46 –1 $165.36 / 1.46 = $113.26 So, we will place a bet of $113.26 on the Giants. Result: Marlins (0) / Giants (5) We win our bet. We clear our loses and make a $100 profit. When you win the session, start another one with the same team or with another team. You can use the same series or use another one. Remember 1) Chose a series you wan to use like (W, L, L, L, W) or anything else. Chose the amount you want to make with this series. 2) Select a team that you will use to place your bets using the predetermined series. 3) Place your bet for or against the team you’ve selected in order to follow the series. 4) Use the money line if the odds for “action” are too low. 5) If you lose a bet, follow the progression by adding all your loses plus the amount you want to make and calculate your next bet using the formula. 6) If you win your bet, start another session with the same team or another team. Start at step 1.
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MoneyFish | Date: Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:15 PM | Message # 19 |
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| System #14 In this system, the goal is very simple. You will follow a predetermined series of 8 or 10 bets and as soon as you win 2 bets in a row, you will make a profit. We will use straight bet for this system. Depending on where you are in the series, when you lose a bet, you will move up to the next predetermined amount in the series and you will bet this amount. If you win this bet, you will parlay the winnings plus the bet. If you win this second bet, you clear all the loses and end the session with a profit. There is 2 series that you can use with this system. The first series is a 8 number series and allows you to make a bigger profit when you hit 2 wins in a row. The second series is a 10 number series and you make a smaller profit but you can resist a longer losing streak. The 2 series are: 10 – 20 – 30 – 40 – 50 – 60 – 90 - 120 10 – 5 – 7 – 10 – 14 – 19 – 25 – 35 – 50 – 70 Now, here what you can expect to win following these 2 series with odds 1.93 (-107). 8 number series: Bet Number Bet Profit 1 10 9.30 or 27.20 2 20 8.60 or 44.40 3 30 51.74 1024 40 48.80 5 50 36.00 6 60 13.20 7 90 34.80 8 120 26.40 10 number series: Bet Number Bet Profit 1 10 9.30 or 27.20 2 5 3.60 3 7 4.04 4 10 5.20 5 14 6.08 6 19 5.68 7 25 3.00 8 35 5.20 9 50 11.00 10310 70 15.40 When you hit 2 wins in a row in one of these series, you make a profit. Now, here’s the rules to follow: 1) Use one of these 2 series: 10 – 20 – 30 – 40 – 50 – 60 – 90 - 120 or 10 – 5 – 7 – 10 – 14 – 19 – 25 – 35 – 50 – 70 2) First of all, place a straight bet using the first number of the series. If this bet wins, you have two option: - Take the winnings and start another series. - Parlay your winnings plus the previous bet in order to make more money. It’s your own choice. 3) If you lose your first bet, move up to the next number in the series and place this bet. 4) If you win this first bet, parlay the winnings and your previous bet. If you win this second bet, you make a profit. If you lose your first or your second bet, move up to the next numbers in the series. 5) When you win two bets in a row, you start a new series. Now, in order to help you understand this system, let’s see how it works. We’ll use the 8 number series and we’ll assume the odds are 1.93 (- 107). (This system work very well with odds 1.91 (-110)). Ok….the series is 10 – 20 – 30 – 40 – 50 – 60 – 90 - 120 Day 1 You place a bet of $10. You win. 104Now, you have the choice to take the profit and add it to your bankroll or try to parlay this amount to make a bigger profit. Let’s say you decide to parlay your winnings plus your initial bet. So, it’s a total of $19.30. Day 2 You bet $19.30 and you lose. In reality, you lose only $10 because the $9.30 was the profit from your first bet. You’re at -$10. Day 3 You move up to the next number in the series which is 20. You bet $20. You lose. Now you’re at -$30. Day 4 You move up to the next number in the series which is 30. You bet $30. You win. So you win $27.90 but you still -$2.10 in the hole! Day 5 You parlay your winnings plus the previous bet. So the next bet will be $27.90 + $30 = $57.90. You lose. Now you’ve lost a total of $60. Day 6 You move up to the next number in the series which is 40. You bet $40. You lose. You’re at -$100. Day 7 You move up to the next number in the series which is 50. You bet $50. You win. So, you win $46.50 but you still -$53.50 in the hole! Day 8 You parlay your winnings plus the previous bet. So, the next bet will be $46.50 + 50 = $96.50. You win. So, you win $186.25 - $96.50 - $53.50 = +$36.25 You make a profit of $36.25. 105 Now, you can start a new series with the first number in the series. If you want to make more money with this series, multiply each number by 2 or 3. You will have a series like: 30 – 60 – 90 – 120 – 150 – 180 – 270 – 360 or if the series is too high, you can use a series like: 2– 4 – 6 – 8 – 10 – 12 – 18 – 24 If you want to use the 10 number series, it is the same rules. The only difference is that you will make a smaller profit but you will be able to resist a longer losing streak and you’ll also risk a smaller part of your bankroll.
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MoneyFish | Date: Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:16 PM | Message # 20 |
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| System #16 (partea 1) The next system is especially designed for baseball. That means that you can’t use this system with other sports through out the year. However, I can guarantee you that you’ll be very happy every April of each year when the MLB season will start. You’ll see that this system is simply amazing. Since I discovered this system, I play it every baseball season and I always have incredible results. It’s just wonderful. The concept of this system is very simple but very powerful. A fact that you may know is that in the MLB, there is a lot of winning streaks and losing streaks for almost every team. That is what we will use in this system. What you will do is bet on a team while they’re on a winning streak or bet on a team while they’re on a losing streak. All you have to do is pick a team anytime of the year that you think will have a winning streak or a losing streak. However, my advise to you would be to don’t pick a team that is a dynasty like the New York Yankees, The Red Sox or The Atlanta Braves. The reason is very simple. The bookmakers know that people are always betting on these team and the odds will be against you. Remember that the odds value are all about public perception. All right…when you picked your team, you’ll wait for a specific signal. As you may know, there is a lot of casino system that use this kind of notion. You have to wait for a signal in order to start the system. There is some roulette systems where you have to wait for a signal like 4 reds in a row or 3 even numbers in a row or a dozen that doesn’t show for 10 spins in order to make a bet. Well, it is the same thing with this system but in sports betting like in baseball, there is some facts that are very different than in every casino games. One of these fact is about the winning streaks and the losing streaks. You can use these facts against the sportsbooks. Ok…so, when you have chosen your team, you wait for a signal. If you think that your team will have a winning streak, you wait for a win of your team. If you think that your team will suffer a losing streak, you wait for a lose of that team. When this signal occurs, it’s time to place your bet. 112This will allows you to catch your team when they enter in a winning or losing streak. Your session will be over when a winning team loe a game or when a losing team win a game. You will make 1 to 3 bet on this team on the money line in amounts that you need to win a predetermined amounts in the series. These amounts are X, X, 1/2X (or 0.5X). IMPORTANT: The series doesn’t end until you win 3 bets in a row or lose 1 bet. In this case, you pocket the profit you made and you wait for another signal to occur. If you’ve selected a team to lose 3 game in a row, the session end when they loses 3 game in a row or when they win one game. Ok, now let’s see how this really work. The formula is very simple, X, X, 0.5X First of all, you need to know the amount you want to bet. If you want to play with a $100 unit, the formula will be: 100 – 100 – 50 If you find this amount too high, you can choose any amount you feel comfortable with. Now, here’s how it works: First, select a team you think will win. You can do the same with a team you think will lose. Wait for a signal. If you go with a winning team, wait for a win. If you go with a losing team, wait for a lose. When the signal happens, place the necessary bet in order to win your first amount of $100. If you first bet wins, place a second bet in order to win the second amount in the series which is $100. If you win your second bet, place a third bet in order to win the third predetermined amount of $50. 113If you win your third bet, the session is over. Add your profit to your bankroll and wait for another signal for the same team or another one. If you lose your first bet, start a new session by tracking a new signal and start another series. In fact, you wait for a signal, you bet following the formula until you win 3 game in a row or lose one game. Simple as that. Now to see how it works in the “Real Life”, let’s take a look at the Houston Astros from August 6th to September 6th 2004. Game Line Bet Win W/L Profit 1 1.36 - - W - 2 1.80 125 100 L -$125 Run Line 3 1.78 - - L -$125 Run Line 4 2.10 - - L -$125 5 1.55 - - W -$125 6 2.20 84 100 L -$209 7 1.51 - - L -$209 8 1.97 - - L -$209 9 2.25 - - W -$209 10 1.78 129 100 W -$109 11 1.68 147 100 W -$9 11412 2.08 47 50 W +$41 You start to track the Astros for a win. This happens at game #1. So, you start to bet on them at game 2 but you lose. Now, you have to accept the lose and wait for another signal. The second signal happens at game #5. The next game you start to bet but you lose again. Again, you have to accept the lose and wait for another signal. The third signal happens at game #9. You start to bet on the Astros at game #10 and you win 3 game in a row following the formula 100, 100, 50. You end the session with a clear profit of $41.
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MoneyFish | Date: Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:17 PM | Message # 21 |
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| System #16 (partea 2) Game Line Bet Win W/L Profit 13 1.82 - - L +$41 14 2.45 - - W +$41 15 1.83 120 100 L -$79 16 1.57 - - W -$79 17 1.89 113 100 W +$21 18 1.98 102 100 W +$123 19 2.80 28 50 L +$95 As you can see, you wait for another signal of one win and this happens at game #14. So, you start betting at game #15 but you lose. You have to accept the lose and wait for another signal that happens at game #16. You start to place your bet at game # 17 and you win 2 in a row. The third bet of $50 is lost but you make a good profit from the previous bet and end the session with a total profit of $95. Game Line Bet Win W/L Profit 11520 2.30 - - W +$95 21 2.26 80 100 W +$195 22 2.19 84 100 W +$295 23 2.65 30 50 W +$345 You wait for the signal and it happens at game #20. You end the session with 3 wins in a row. So, you wait for another signal. Game Line Bet Win W/L Profit 24 1.83 - - W +$345 25 1.91 110 100 W +$445 26 1.50 200 100 W +$545 27 1.61 82 50 W +$595 Again here you win 3 game in a row and your total profit is $595. You wait for another signal. Game Line Bet Win W/L Profit 28 1.57 - - W +$595 29 1.55 182 100 W +$695 30 1.56 182 100 W +$795 31 1.61 100 50 W +$845 Run Line 116 As you can see, you end another session with 3 wins in a row and you end one month of plays with a clear profit of $845. Of course the Astros had a long winning rate of 10 games in a row but this kind of things happens really often in the MLB. As you can see in the example, you can also use the run line when you place a bet. When the odds are too low (like 1.30 (-300)) and you back your team 100% that they can win by at least 2 runs, take the run line. You will have better odds. Conclusion 1) First, select a team you think will win. You can do the same with a team you think will lose. 2) Wait for a signal. If you go with a winning team, wait for a win. If you go with a losing team, wait for a lose. 3) When the signal happens, place the necessary bet in order to win your first amount of $100. 4) If you first bet wins, place a second bet in order to win the second amount in the series which is $100. 5) If you win your second bet, place a third bet in order to win the third predetermined amount of $50. 6) If you win your third bet, the session is over. Add your profit to your bankroll and wait for another signal for the same team or another one. 7) If you lose your first bet, start a new session by tracking a new signal and start another series. In fact, you wait for a signal, you bet following the formula until you win 3 games in a row or lose one game. Simple as that. Another thing that is important is that even if you win game in a row (your first two bets), if the odds of you third game are very low like 1.33 (-300), you can end the session right now. You don’t need to risk $150 to win $50 if you won the 2 previous bet. You have a chance to lose a big part of your winnings. Good luck with this system!
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MoneyFish | Date: Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:17 PM | Message # 22 |
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| System #17 Alright…we’ll still in the MLB streaks for the other system. However, this next system can be use for any kind of sports but it is perfect for baseball because of the fact that most of the team have winning and losing streak. So, in this chapter, I just want to give a little but how much powerful system that every part time sports gambler should know. I know that there is a lot of baseball fans so, that’s why the examples will be about baseball but you can always use this system with any sports. However, baseball offers the most possibilities. So…here we go… Summer is the time to bet on baseball. Of course, in North America, this is the only sports that we can bet on everyday during the summer. But if you know some little but very important things, you can make a lot of money with the MLB. First thing you need to know is that it’s time to bet on underdogs. Yes, absolutely. During the regular season, each of the 30 team will play 162 games. This is a possibility of 4860 games to bet on. Of these 4860 games, 44% WILL BE WON BY THE UNDERDOGS. This is an amazing fact. Every 100 game, over 40 games are won by an underdog with odds over 2.00 ( +100). Another fact. Take the MLB stats and you’ll see that most of the time, a team will win more than one game in a row. You will see a team wins 7 to 10 games in a row many times a year. This kind of pattern only happen in the MLB. Why ? This is baseball! Another reason is the number of game. Ok, here’s a little system I use every baseball season and I have a lot of success. We will use the 2 facts above and a system called “Let It Ride”. We will simply invest a little amount and if we win, we will use the profit to bet on another game on the same team. You can do it as many time as you want and snowball your profit. But I think that 3 to 4 times is perfect. 118Does this system works ? Remember the 2004 season when the Tampa Bay Devil Rays won 12 games in a row as underdog ? Well, my friend, if you would be at Las Vegas, you would have turned $10 into over $500,000 within 2 weeks. Yes. This is money! Of course it takes some luck because this is gambling but you can be assured that someone did it for this winning streak. As for myself, I like to try a 10 game winning streak. Couple of weeks ago, that’s what I did with the Pittsburgh Pirates. They were hot for a couple of days and they were 3-0 when I started to bet on them. They were always underdog. You know the results. They won 10 games in a row and for an initial bet of $10, I made over $3000 in pure profit. Was I lucky ? Yes of course, but if you don’t try it, you’ll never make it. Simple as that. However, if you want to make a good profit over the baseball season with this system, here’s what you should do. First, never bet “let it ride” for more than 4 games in a row. Second, bet on the teams with an average between .450 and .550. If you want to bet on teams that play over .550 like the Yankees or the Red Sox, use the run line of –1.5. Third, always bet the same amount each game until a win. When you win, let it ride for 4 games and collect the profit. Then start again. There is a lot of possibility every week. Just look at how many team have a 4 wins streak at http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/standings. Now, here’s how it works. Instead of buying a lottery ticket every week, take a little $10 and pick a team that can easily win 4 games in a row. Let’s take the Yankees as example. Let’s say we take them with the run line of –1.5 because they are always (most of the time) an heavy favourite. Let’s say that the odds are in average 2.15 119First game, you place a $10 bet at 2.15 You win. Now you have $21.50 to bet. Game #2, you place your $21.50 bet at 2.15. You win. Now you have $46.22 to bet. Game #3, you place a $46.22 bet at 2.15 You win. Now you have $99.37 to bet. Game #4, you place your $99.37 bet at 2.15. You win. Total won = $213.64 Not bad for a small $10! And the good thing is that if you lose, you lose only $10! Of course, you’ll not win every time but you’ll make more money with this system than taking a lottery ticket! Good luck and have fun!
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MoneyFish | Date: Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:19 PM | Message # 23 |
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| System #18 (partea 1) The next system is a system that use underdogs. This system is especially designed for betting on baseball. In other words, you will bet on baseball underdogs. One very important thing that you should remember is that sports gambler loves their favorites. Oddsmakers know this and they know that the natural tendency of almost every sports gamblers is to think that the spreads, set by oddsmakers, represents how much a team is favored to win the game. Well, the fact is that oddsmakers set the spreads based on public perception with the goal of getting 50% of bettors to bet on each team (each side). By doing this, sportsbooks are come out ahead no matter who win the game. Now, I’ll keep this chapter short and to the point. One thing you should know is that a lot of pro sports gamblers are using this system to make thousands of dollars every month with this system. Fact: In baseball, there is a law of average showing that over an entire season, underdogs will beat favorites about 4 games out of 9 (44%). Even with money lines of 2.25, 2.35, 2.50. Example: If you bet $25 on 9 underdogs with odds of 2.35 (+135), you will make 4 X $25 X 2.35 = $235 – 9 X $25 = $225. So you end with a profit of $10. So, in order to help you select the best underdogs and this way, make more money, you will have to follow 3 simple rules in your selection of underdogs. 3 Rules to follow: 1) You must eliminate the game where the underdog has lost 3 or more games in a row or the favorite has won 3 or more games in a row. Remember that every baseball team face some long losing streaks as well as long winning streaks. 1212) Eliminate games where the money line for the underdog are higher then 2.50 (+150). If this is the case, there is a reason and you must avoid these games. 3) Eliminate games where the underdog is facing a very good pitcher. If they’re facing a pitcher who’s in the top 20 of the MLB, move on to another selection. You can use any newspaper as well as a lot of web sites to have access to this information. www.tsn.com is a good one. The pitchers standing must be according to earned-run average (ERA). So, everyday, if you follow these 3 rules on a day with as many as 15 games, you should be left with between 3 and 9 underdogs team to bet on. Amount to bet: It is really up to you. Betting around 1.25% to 2.5% of your bankroll is ok. So, if you have a $1000 bankroll, 2.5% means that you will bet $25 a game. Now everyday, all you have to do is check the MLB schedule and eliminate the games following the 3 rules. After that, you’re ready to bet ! Now, let’s see an example. We’ll take a look at a real week just to see how it works. Day 1 Monday September 6, 2004 Atlanta (1.81) vs Philadelphia (2.13) The underdog Philadelphia had won 3 in a row and the favorite had lost 1. The pitcher isn’t in the top 20. So, we bet $25 on the Philadelphia. Result: Brave 3, Phillies 1. We lost $25. Astros (1.56) VS Reds (2.63) Money line odds on Reds are too high. There is no play. Pittsburgh (1.67) VS Milwaukee (2.35) 122No team is on a streak. The pitcher isn’t in the top 20 and the odds are ok. So, we bet $25 on the Brewers. Result: Pirates 5, Brewers 9. Profit +$33.75 Chicago (1.33) VS Expos (3.70) Money line odds on the Expos are too high. There is no play. San Diego (2.42) VS St-Louis (1.64) The cards won their 9 last games so there is no play. Yankees (1.30) VS Devil Rays (3.90) Money line odds on the Devil Rays are too high. There is no play. Detroit (1.49) VS Kansas city (2.85) Money line odds on the Royals are too high. There is no play. Baltimore (1.79) VS Minnesota (2.17) No team is on a streak and the pitcher is not in the top 20. We bet $25 on the Twins. Result: Orioles 4, Twins 1. Profit -$25 Texas (1.42) VS Chicago (3.15) The odds on the White Sox are too high. There is no play. Seattle (2.22) VS Cleveland (1.76) The Mariners lost their 5 last game so, there is no play. Oakland (1.79) VS Boston (2.16) No team are in a streak and the pitcher is not in the top 20. So, we bet $25 on the Red Sox. Result: Red Sox 8, Athletics 3. Profit +$29 123Record for Day 1 WIN LOSE PROFIT TOTAL PROFIT 2 2 +$12.75 +$12.75 Day 2 Tuesday, September 7, 2004 Pittsburgh (2.31) VS Milwaukee (1.68) Pirates lost their 5 last game. There is no play. Florida (1.48) VS New York (2.88) The odds on the Mets are too high. There is no play. Atlanta (1.55) VS Philadelphia (2.61) The odds on the Phillies are too high. There is no play. Chicago (1.31) VS Montreal (3.85) The odds on the Expos are too high. There is no play. Houston (1.30) VS Cincinnati (3.95) The odds on the Reds are too high. There is no play. Colorado (2.70) VS San Francisco (1.53) The odds on the Rockies are too high. There is no play. San Diego (2.17) VS St Louis (1.79) The Cards pitcher is in the top 20. There is no play. 124Los Angeles (1.49) VS Arizona (2.85) The odds on the Diamondbacks are too high. There is no play. New York (1.29) VS Tampa Bay (4.04) The odds on the Devil Rays are too high. There is no play. Baltimore (2.20) VS Minnesota (1.77) The teams are not on a streak. The pitcher is not in the top 20. So, we bet $25 on the Orioles. Result: Twins 3, Orioles 1. Profit -$25. Detroit (1.42) VS Kansas City (3.15) The odds on the Royals are too high. There is no play. Texas (1.59) VS Chicago (2.55) The odds on the White Sox are too high. There is no play. Oakland (2.00) VS Boston (1.91) Derek Lowe is in the top 20. There is no play. Anaheim (1.39) VS Toronto (3.25) The odds on the Jays are too high. There is no play. Record for Day 2 WIN LOSE PROFIT TOTAL PROFIT 0 1 -$25 -$12.25
Message edited by MoneyFish - Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:22 PM |
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MoneyFish | Date: Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:20 PM | Message # 24 |
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| System #18 (partea 2) 125Day 3 Wednesday, September 8, 2004 Houston (1.29) VS Cincinnati (4.12) The odds on the Reds are too high. There is no play. San Diego (2.32) VS St Louis (1.70) The odds are ok. No team is on a streak. Matt Morris is not in the top 20. We bet $25 on the Padres. Result: Padres 10, Cards 5. Profit +$33. Pittsburgh (1.67) VS Milwaukee (2.35) Oliver Perez is in the top 20. There is no play. Atlanta (1.65) VS Philadelphia (2.42) No team are on a streak. Mike Hampton is not in the top 20. We bet $25 on the Phillies. Result: Phillies 4, Braves 1. Profit +$35.50 Florida (1.33) VS New York (3.70) The odds on the Mets are too high. No play. Chicago (1.29) VS Montreal (4.12) The odds on Montreal are too high. No play. Colorado (2.03) VS San Francisco (1.88) No team are on a streak. Kirk Rueter isn’t in the top 20. We bet $25 on the Rockies. Result: Giants 5, Rockies 3. Profit -$25. Los Angeles (1.26) VS Arizona (4.45) The odds on the Diamondbacks are too high. No play. 126 New York Yankees (1.40) VS Tampa Bay (3.25) The odds on the Devil Rays are too high. No play. Baltimore (2.70) VS Minnesota (1.53) The odds on the Twins are too high. No play. Detroit (1.50) VS Kansas City (2.80) The odds on the Royals are too high. No play. Texas (1.94) VS Chicago WS (1.96) No team are on a streak. John Wasdin isn’t in the top 20. We bet $25 on the White Sox. Result: Rangers 2, White Sox 5. Profit +$24 Seattle (2.15) VS Cleveland (1.80) No team are on a streak. Lee Cliff isn’t in the top 20. We bet $25 on the Mariners. Result: Indians 9, Mariners 5. Profit -$25. Oakland (2.31) VS Boston (1.68) Pedro Martinez in the top 20. There is no play. Anaheim (1.29) VS Toronto (4.04) The odds are too high on the Jays. No play. Record for Day 3 WIN LOSE PROFIT TOTAL PROFIT 3 2 +$42.50 +$30.25 127Day 4 Thursday, September 9, 2004 Pittsburgh (1.94) VS Houston (1.96) No team are on a streak. Oliver Perez is in the top 20. No play. Pittsburgh (2.31) VS Houston (1.68) No team are on a streak. Tim Redding isn’t in the top 20. We bet $25. Result: Astros 9, Pirates 2. Profit -$25. Cincinnati (1.76) VS Milwaukee (2.22) No team are on a streak. Brandon Clausen isn’t in the top 20. We bet $25 on the Brewers. Result: Brewers 7, Reds 2. Profit +$30.50. Atlanta (1.59) VS Philadelphia (2.55) No team are on a streak. Russ Ortiz isn’t in the top 20. We bet $25 on the Phillies. Result: Phillies 9, Braves 4. Profit +$38.75 Colorado (1.95) VS San Diego (1.95) The odds are the same. No play. Los Angeles (1.28) VS Arizona (4.10) The odds on the Diamondbacks are too high. No play. Detroit (1.53) VS Kansas City (2.70) The odds on the Royals are too high. No play. Yankees (1.40) VS Tampa Bay (3.25) The odds on the Devil Rays are too high. No play. 128Texas (2.00) VS Chicago WS (1.91) Mark Buehrle is in the top 20. No play. Seattle (2.63) VS Boston (1.56) The Red Sox are on a 4 wins streak. The odds on the Mariners are too high. There is no play. Anaheim (1.45) VS Toronto (3.00) The odds on the Jays are too high. No play. Record for Day 4 WIN LOSE PROFIT TOTAL PROFIT 2 1 +$44.25 +$74.50 Day 5 Friday, September 10, 2004 Pittsburgh (2.55) VS Houston (1.60) No team are on a streak. Peter Munro isn’t in the top 20. We bet $25 on the Pirates. Result: Pirates 6, Astros 1. Profit +$38.75. Mets (1.97) VS Philadelphia (1.93) The Phillies are on a 3 wins streak. No play. Cincinnati (1.67) VS Milwaukee (2.35) No team are on a streak. Josh Hancock isn’t in the top 20. We bet $25 on the Brewers. Result: Brewers 4, Reds 6. Profit -$25. Atlanta (1.38) VS Montreal (3.35) The odds on Montreal are too high. No play. 129 Colorado (2.13) VS San Diego (1.81) No team are on a streak. Brian Lawrence isn’t in the top 20. We bet $25 on the Rockies. Result: Rockies 4, Padres 10. Profit -$25. Arizona (2.00) VS San Francisco (1.91) The Diamondbacks are on a 7 loses streak. No play. Los Angeles (2.18) VS St Louis (1.78) No team are on a streak. Jason Marquis isn’t in the top 20. We bet $25 on the Dodgers. Result: Dodgers 7, Cards 6. Profit +$29.50. Detroit (2.00) VS Minnesota (1.91) No team are on a streak. Carlos Silva isn’t in the top 20. We bet $25 on the Tigers. Result: Twins 4, Tigers 1. Profit -$25. Baltimore (2.49) VS Yankees (1.61) Javier Vazquez is in the top 20. No play. Texas (1.60) VS Toronto (2.52) Ryan Drese is in the top 20. No play. Seattle (3.67) VS Boston (1.34) The odds on the Mariners are too high. No play. Oakland (1.43) VS Cleveland (3.10) The odds on the Indians are too high. No play. Anaheim (1.56) VS Chicago WS (2.62) The odds on the White Sox are too high. No play.
Message edited by MoneyFish - Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:22 PM |
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MoneyFish | Date: Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:24 PM | Message # 25 |
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| System #19 (partea 1) The next system is very simple and is very powerful. In fact, I never lost a session in three years using this system. This system can be used for any kind of sports but is very powerful when applying to baseball (MLB). What we will do is simply to use the betting progression of system #4. The power of martingale applied to the underdogs. If you didn’t read system #4, please take a close look at it because we’ll use the progression in the following system. In this chapter, I will tell you how to pick the underdog to use with this system. How it works: You will simply look at the odds for each team and you’ll assign a number to each team. The number for each team will be the difference between the real Pct that a team is playing for compared to the odds that the lines makers have assigned to the team. Well, it could be difficult to understand right now but let’s take a look at a real example. You’ll understand soon that it is not very difficult to apply the system. First, let’s take a look at the standing for today, September 18, 2004. American League East Division Team W L Pct GB Strk Yankees 93 55 .628 - 51-22 42-33 7-3 W1 Red Sox 89 58 .605 3 ½ 51-23 38-35 6-4 L1 Orioles 69 77 .473 23 31-39 38-38 5-5 W3 Devil Rays 63 83 .432 29 36-34 27-49 4-6 L1 Blue Jays 61 87 .412 32 37-40 24-47 4-6 W1 American League Central Division Team W L Pct GB Strk Twins 86 62 .581 - 46-31 40-31 8-2 L2 White Sox 72 74 .493 13 39-33 33-41 3-7 L5 Indians 71 76 .483 14 ½ 41-34 30-42 4-6 L2 AL Wild Card Team GB Red Sox - Angels 5 ½ Rangers 8 ½ White Sox 16 ½ Indians 18 Orioles 19 ½ Tigers 21 ½ Home Road L10 Home Road L10 136Tigers 67 79 .459 18 34-38 33-41 4-6 W2 Royals 53 93 .363 32 32-41 21-52 5-5 W1 American League West Division Team W L Pct GB Strk Athletics 86 62 .581 - 49-25 37-37 5-5 W1 Angels 84 64 .568 2 42-32 42-32 5-5 L1 Rangers 81 67 .547 5 46-25 35-42 6-4 W1 Mariners 56 92 .378 30 37-41 19-51 5-5 L1 Devil Rays 25 ½ Blue Jays 28 ½ Mariners 33 ½ Royals 35 ½ Home Road L10 National League East Division Team W L Pct GB Strk Braves 61 - 6-4 Marlins 77 68 .531 8 ½ 37- 35 5-5 L1 72 11 ½ 39- 36 7-3 L1 Mets 64 .435 22 ½ 35-40 29- 43 4-6 W1 Expos 62 86 .419 25 33-38 29- 48 4-6 W1 Team Pct Home L10 Strk y-Cardinals 50 - 46- 25 5-5 W2 Cubs 81 .559 43-32 7-3 .547 41- 34 Reds 67 .456 38-38 29- 42 4-6 L3 Pirates 80 30 ½ 36-35 30- 45 4-6 L4 Brewers 62 83 .428 34 34-40 28- 43 3-7 Team W Pct Dodgers 85 63 .574 - 40- 34 L1 Giants 83 66 .557 2 ½ 43-32 40- 34 7-3 L1 Padres 80 69 .537 5 ½ 36-36 44- 33 6-4 W1 Rockies 84 21 29- 45 W1 Diamondbacks 46 103 .309 25-50 L2 NL Wild Card Team GB Cubs - 1 ½ Padres 3 Marlins 4 Phillies Reds Pirates 15 ½ Mets 18 Rockies 18 ½ Brewers Expos Diamondbacks 37 Home Road L10 87 .588 43-29 44- 32 W1 Giants - Astros 40-33 Phillies 75 .510 36-36 83 7 15 National League Central Division W L GB Road 97 .660 51-25 19 64 15 38- 32 W5 20 ½ Astros 81 67 16 ½ 40-33 6-4 W2 80 30 66 .452 L4 National League West Division L GB Home Road L10 Strk 45-29 5-5 64 .432 35-39 4-6 39 ½ 21- 53 4-6 137Now, let’s look at the odds for each team. We’ll only use the money line in this system. Here’s the odds for September 18, 2004 from www.canbet.com. Now, you see that the Rockies are playing for 0.432. We will convert this number into odds. To convert this percentage into odds, you just have to follow this formula. 1 / percentage That means that the odds for the Rockies, following the percentage should be 2.31. Live odds – real odds 2.19 - 2.31 = -0.12 Real odds = 1/0.574 = 1.74 Difference = +0.04 Colorado (2.19) VS Los Angeles (1.78) So, here it’s 1/0.432 = 2.31 In fact, this is the breakeven point for this team. If the team keep playing for 0.432 through all the year, you need to bet every game at 2.31 to break even at the end of the season. Now, we see that the line at the sportsbook is 2.19. So, we understand that the live odds is less than the real value. So next, we’ll calculate the difference between the real odds and the live odds. You assign this number to the Rockies. Now, you do the same thing for their opponent, the Dodgers. Pct = 0.574 Live odds = 1.78
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MoneyFish | Date: Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:26 PM | Message # 26 |
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| System #20 This system is very easy to use and it is perfect for the sports gambler who want to achieve a good profit over the long run without risking a large bankroll. The system use a very simple progression that is after a loss, you go up 3 units and after a win, you go down 2 units. Simple as that. As soon as you are over in your bankroll, you stop the session and you start another one. It’s just like the stock exchange. You buy something, you watch the price fluctuate and you sell when you can make a profit. We’ll also assume that our betting unit is $5. So, if you have to play 20 units, it’s 20 X $5 = $100. 1 20 L -100 -100 As you already know, everybody can achieve a 50% winning rates over the long run. Even if you make your selection by flipping a coin, you’ll reach a 50% winning rate on the long run. THIS IS A FACT. When you start a session, you’ll start your initial amount in a mid- range rather than 1 unit. The advantage is that a win followed by a loss, will produce a profit. So will a loss followed by a win. If you start with 1 unit and don't reduce your bet after you win, a loss followed by a win will break even instead of gaining 1 unit. That's why, it's advantageous to start with say 10 or 20 units, a parameter you can change in the spreadsheet. Then you can move to either direction on a loss or on a win. Now, to see how it works, we’ll take a look at some example. For every example, we’ll assume that the odds are always 1.93 (-107). Day Units W/L Profit Tot. Profit 2 23 W +106.95 -6.95 144You end the session with a profit of $6.95. This is with a 50% winning rate (1-1). With flat betting you would have been down. Now, here’s a simulation of a bad streak. Day Units W/L Profit Tot. Profit 3 26 L -130 -345 6 30 W +139.50 -205.65 9 29 L -145 -350.45 11 30 W +139.50 -62.15 12 28 L -140 -202.15 14 29 W +134.85 +76.85 End of the session. You end with a winning rate of 50% and a profit of $76.85. That’s it for this system. As you can see, it’s very easy to apply and it works very well. You can also assign to the unit the value you feel comfortable to play with. You can start with $0.50 or $100 and more. It’s up to you. 1 20 L -100 -100 2 23 L -115 -215 4 29 W +134.85 -210.15 5 27 L -135 -345.15 7 28 W +130.20 -75.45 8 26 L -130 -205.45 10 32 W +148.80 -201.65 13 31 W +144.15 -58 With flat betting $100 a game, you would be down by -$49. Good luck with this system !
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MoneyFish | Date: Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:29 PM | Message # 27 |
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| System #21(partea 3) You write down: $284.16 + $284.16 + $284.16 + $916.65 + $916.65 Your next bet is $916.65 You win. You cross out the first three numbers from the left. $284.16 + $284.16 + $284.16 + $916.65 + $916.65 That leaves us with: $916.65 + $916.65 Your next target is the sum of the two remaining numbers. $916.65 + $916.65 = $1833.30 The target is too high. We will split the $1833.30 into 6 time $305.55. $305.55 + $305.55 + $305.55 + $305.55 + $305.55 + $305.55 The next target is the sum of the first three numbers on the left. $305.55 + $305.55 + $305.55 = $916.65 Your next bet is $916.65 / 0.93 = $985.65 You win. You cross out the first three numbers on the left. $305.55 + $305.55 + $305.55 + $305.55 + $305.55 + $305.55 That leaves us with: $305.55 + $305.55 + $305.55 The new target is the sum of the three remaining numbers. $305.55 + $305.55 + $305.55 = $916.65 Your next bet is $916.65 / 0.93 = $985.65 You win. You cross out the three remaining numbers. 157$305.55 + $305.55 + $305.55 Total lost = 18 The session is over. You have recovered from your loses and you have made your $50 target. Total win = 11 Winning percentage = 37.93% This was a very, very bad run. I never encountered a session like this one. But it was only to show you the power of the split bet technique and how the system works. Now imagine with my daily picks and a winning rate of 63% ! Aggressive Mode With the aggressive mode, you don’t need to wait until a win to start the progression. If you start a session and you lose the first bet, you start to add the numbers you written down right away. So, if you lose your first bet, your next target becomes $50 + $54.95 = $104.95. But you never add more than 3 numbers at the time. How can you make a 15% return on your investment every month ? Very simple. You will use a 100 units bankroll. Every time you win a session, you will win 1% of your bankroll. 15% Returns Every Month You will win around 15 sessions every month. So, 15 sessions equal 15 units in pure profit. 15 units on a 100 units bankroll = 15% profit. Got it? 435% Returns Every Years Now, let’s see how you will earn over 435% returns on your investment every year. Let’s say you start with a bankroll of $1000. 158Month Betting Unit Starting Bankroll New Bankroll 6 $20.11 $2011.45 $2313.10 1 $10 $1000 $1150 2 $11.50 $1150 $1322.50 3 $13.23 $1322.50 $1520.95 4 $15.21 $1520.95 $1749.10 5 $17.49 $1749.10 $2011.45 7 $23.13 $2313.10 $2660.05 8 $26.60 $2660.05 $3059.05 9 $30.59 $3059.05 $3517.90 10 $35.18 $3517.90 $4045.60 11 $40.46 $4045.60 $4652.50 12 $46.53 $4652.50 $5350.45 Total profit = $5350.45 - $1000 = +$4350.45 $4350.50 / $1000 = 435.05% profit. Imagine after 3 years !!! WOW !!! Good luck!
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MoneyFish | Date: Tuesday, 2009-10-13, 7:30 PM | Message # 28 |
Major
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| cam asta e tot...sper sa va fie de ajutor...daca nu asta este
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